Adapted Screenplay Predictions: June 2025

Similar to Original Screenplay, Adapted will more than likely comprise of films that find themselves also securing a Best Picture nomination. However, there are more adapted contenders than original this year, so there is room for one or possible two Best Picture nominees missing out. One of which I could see being “Wicked: For Good”, which despite me anticipating it getting into the Best Picture line-up, I fear it will miss out on Screenplay just like the first film did this previous year.

Another film of pedigree I am still unsure of is 2024 TIFF People’s Choice Winner “The Life of Chuck”. Mike Flanagan‘s adaptation of the Stephen King novella has recieved a lukewarm reception from critics, and the initial buzz following its unprecedented win at Toronto may well have died down given the film’s delayed release. While the award has proven to be a strong indicator of past Oscar players, this delayed release may have a significant impact, but time shall time.

The Academy does have a tendency to go for writer-directors, with potential screenplay prospects including; Paul Thomas Anderson, Chloe Zhao, Scott Cooper, Rian Johnson, Guillermo del Toro and Lynne Ramsay.

Full list of Adapted Screenplay predictions – June 2025:

Strong Contenders

  1. “Bugonia” (Will Tracy)
  2. “One Battle After Another” (Paul Thomas Anderson)
  3. “Hamnet” (Chloe Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell)
  4. “The Life of Chuck” (Mike Flanagan)
  5. “Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere” (Scott Cooper)

Possible Contenders

  1. “Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery” (Rian Johnson)
  2. “Frankenstein” (Guillermo del Toro)
  3. “Die My Love” (Enda Walsh, Lynne Ramsay, Alice Birch)
  4. “The Ballad of a Small Player” (Rowan Joffe)
  5. “Wicked: For Good” (Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox)

Outsiders

  1. “No Other Choice” (Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Lee Ja-hye, Don McKellar)
  2. “Highest 2 Lowest” (William Alan Fox)
  3. “Train Dreams” (Greg Kwedar, Clint Bentley)
  4. “Hedda” (Nia DaCosta)
  5. “The History of Sound” (Oliver Hermanus, Ben Shattuck)

Check out my Movie Reviews and other way-too-early Oscar Predictions via the links below.

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